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-   -   Oh no, it's the 50/50 again... (http://ravingatheists.com/forum/showthread.php?t=17027)

Stevo_fl 01-09-2013 03:24 PM

Oh no, it's the 50/50 again...
 
People keep slapping me in my fat face with this piece of turgid non-logic: "Either God exists or he doesn't, so it's 50/50", insinuating that there is at least a 50% chance that God exists. "Either he created the world in 6 days, or he didn't, it's one or the other, so it's 50/50".

Oh dear.

Just because you phrase a proposition in such as way as to suggest there there are only two possible outcomes, (God or no God, for example) that in no way implies that the two outcomes have equal probability, like tossing a coin. Using this simple verbal trick, I can make a case for the most ridiculous assertions having at least a 50% probability of being true!

For example, if I throw a piece of dog shit at the wall, it may leave a mark that looks exactly like Ray Comfort's face. Will the shit mark look like Ray? Well, it either will or it won't. Does that mean it's a 50/50 probability that I'm about to create a portrait in poo? Try it with ten thousand turds and you'll have your answer.

Do not allow this dishonest trick to go unchallenged when attempting to have rational conversation with the faithful.

I'm Stevo_fl

Kinich Ahau 01-09-2013 07:01 PM

Do you like playing bingo?

Smellyoldgit 01-09-2013 11:56 PM

Have you ever put your penis in a sheep?

ILOVEJESUS 01-10-2013 03:43 AM

But pigs arse is still pork...right?

Stevo_fl 01-10-2013 08:58 AM

Quote:

Smellyoldgit wrote (Post 672139)
Have you ever put your penis in a sheep?

I've put my penis in everything that walks crawls or swims.

Davin 01-10-2013 09:03 AM

Too bad we lost that 4 year thread with thousands of posts that went over the 50/50 bullshit over and over and over again...

Stevo_fl 01-10-2013 09:13 AM

Quote:

Davin wrote (Post 672146)
Too bad we lost that 4 year thread with thousands of posts that went over the 50/50 bullshit over and over and over again...

Well, you know what they say... if you can't spot the twat, it's you.

Sorry.

Davin 01-10-2013 10:10 AM

Quote:

Stevo_fl wrote (Post 672149)
Well, you know what they say... if you can't spot the twat, it's you.

Sorry.

No worries, the idiot who keeps trying to defend the 50/50 bullshit is still around and apparently more than willing to fill up another thread trying to defend it.

jesus_007 01-15-2013 12:21 AM

Either I'm going to win the lottery tomorrow or I won't. Therefore I have a .5000 probability of winning!

Pisses me off as an unemployable statistician that people pull this shit.

Good response to the OP, use their own logic:
50/50 there's a god.
Christian
Jewish
Buddhist (they're stupid, so just use it)
Muslim (again...stupid)
Hindu
Zeus
Thor
Ra
so if there is a god, there's only a 1 in 4 chance that it's theirs.
(OK, it needs to be polished, but it's a start).

Smellyoldgit 01-15-2013 01:54 AM

Even if you polish a turd, you've still got a pile of shit ....

psychodiva 01-15-2013 02:09 AM

but a very shiny pile of shit :D

Smellyoldgit 01-15-2013 02:33 AM

http://www.randalanderson.com/blog/w...48ee22fd64.jpg

Stevo_fl 01-15-2013 08:02 AM

Quote:

jesus_007 wrote (Post 672302)
Either I'm going to win the lottery tomorrow or I won't. Therefore I have a .5000 probability of winning!

Pisses me off as an unemployable statistician that people pull this shit.

Right! That's why 50% of people who buy tickets win the lottery!


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