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Either I'm going to win the lottery tomorrow or I won't. Therefore I have a .5000 probability of winning!
Pisses me off as an unemployable statistician that people pull this shit.
Good response to the OP, use their own logic:
50/50 there's a god.
Christian
Jewish
Buddhist (they're stupid, so just use it)
Muslim (again...stupid)
Hindu
Zeus
Thor
Ra
so if there is a god, there's only a 1 in 4 chance that it's theirs.
(OK, it needs to be polished, but it's a start).
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