01-09-2013, 03:24 PM
|
#1
|
New Member!
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 12
|
Oh no, it's the 50/50 again...
People keep slapping me in my fat face with this piece of turgid non-logic: "Either God exists or he doesn't, so it's 50/50", insinuating that there is at least a 50% chance that God exists. "Either he created the world in 6 days, or he didn't, it's one or the other, so it's 50/50".
Oh dear.
Just because you phrase a proposition in such as way as to suggest there there are only two possible outcomes, (God or no God, for example) that in no way implies that the two outcomes have equal probability, like tossing a coin. Using this simple verbal trick, I can make a case for the most ridiculous assertions having at least a 50% probability of being true!
For example, if I throw a piece of dog shit at the wall, it may leave a mark that looks exactly like Ray Comfort's face. Will the shit mark look like Ray? Well, it either will or it won't. Does that mean it's a 50/50 probability that I'm about to create a portrait in poo? Try it with ten thousand turds and you'll have your answer.
Do not allow this dishonest trick to go unchallenged when attempting to have rational conversation with the faithful.
I'm Stevo_fl
|
|
|
01-09-2013, 07:01 PM
|
#2
|
Obsessed Member
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Great Ocean Road
Posts: 2,917
|
Do you like playing bingo?
Once you are dead, you are nothing. Graffito, Pompeii
|
|
|
01-09-2013, 11:56 PM
|
#3
|
Stinkin' Mod
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Britland
Posts: 13,616
|
Have you ever put your penis in a sheep?
Stop the Holy See men!
|
|
|
01-10-2013, 03:43 AM
|
#4
|
I Live Here
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 5,158
|
But pigs arse is still pork...right?
A theist is just an atheist with a space in it.
|
|
|
01-10-2013, 08:58 AM
|
#5
|
New Member!
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 12
|
Quote:
Smellyoldgit wrote
Have you ever put your penis in a sheep?
|
I've put my penis in everything that walks crawls or swims.
|
|
|
01-10-2013, 09:03 AM
|
#6
|
Obsessed Member
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: One the armpits of the U.S. of A.
Posts: 2,856
|
Too bad we lost that 4 year thread with thousands of posts that went over the 50/50 bullshit over and over and over again...
Always question all authorities because the authority you don't question is the most dangerous... except me, never question me.
|
|
|
01-10-2013, 09:13 AM
|
#7
|
New Member!
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 12
|
Quote:
Davin wrote
Too bad we lost that 4 year thread with thousands of posts that went over the 50/50 bullshit over and over and over again...
|
Well, you know what they say... if you can't spot the twat, it's you.
Sorry.
|
|
|
01-10-2013, 10:10 AM
|
#8
|
Obsessed Member
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: One the armpits of the U.S. of A.
Posts: 2,856
|
Quote:
Stevo_fl wrote
Well, you know what they say... if you can't spot the twat, it's you.
Sorry.
|
No worries, the idiot who keeps trying to defend the 50/50 bullshit is still around and apparently more than willing to fill up another thread trying to defend it.
Always question all authorities because the authority you don't question is the most dangerous... except me, never question me.
|
|
|
01-15-2013, 12:21 AM
|
#9
|
New Member!
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Republicanville East, Alta California, USA
Posts: 8
|
Either I'm going to win the lottery tomorrow or I won't. Therefore I have a .5000 probability of winning!
Pisses me off as an unemployable statistician that people pull this shit.
Good response to the OP, use their own logic:
50/50 there's a god.
Christian
Jewish
Buddhist (they're stupid, so just use it)
Muslim (again...stupid)
Hindu
Zeus
Thor
Ra
so if there is a god, there's only a 1 in 4 chance that it's theirs.
(OK, it needs to be polished, but it's a start).
|
|
|
01-15-2013, 01:54 AM
|
#10
|
Stinkin' Mod
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Britland
Posts: 13,616
|
Even if you polish a turd, you've still got a pile of shit ....
Stop the Holy See men!
|
|
|
01-15-2013, 02:09 AM
|
#11
|
I Live Here
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 9,613
|
but a very shiny pile of shit
“'I am offended by that.' Well, so fucking what." Fry
|
|
|
01-15-2013, 02:33 AM
|
#12
|
Stinkin' Mod
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Britland
Posts: 13,616
|
Stop the Holy See men!
|
|
|
01-15-2013, 08:02 AM
|
#13
|
New Member!
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 12
|
Quote:
jesus_007 wrote
Either I'm going to win the lottery tomorrow or I won't. Therefore I have a .5000 probability of winning!
Pisses me off as an unemployable statistician that people pull this shit.
|
Right! That's why 50% of people who buy tickets win the lottery!
|
|
|
Thread Tools |
|
Display Modes |
Linear Mode
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
All times are GMT -7. The time now is 04:34 PM.
|