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Old 01-09-2013, 03:24 PM   #1
Stevo_fl
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Oh no, it's the 50/50 again...

People keep slapping me in my fat face with this piece of turgid non-logic: "Either God exists or he doesn't, so it's 50/50", insinuating that there is at least a 50% chance that God exists. "Either he created the world in 6 days, or he didn't, it's one or the other, so it's 50/50".

Oh dear.

Just because you phrase a proposition in such as way as to suggest there there are only two possible outcomes, (God or no God, for example) that in no way implies that the two outcomes have equal probability, like tossing a coin. Using this simple verbal trick, I can make a case for the most ridiculous assertions having at least a 50% probability of being true!

For example, if I throw a piece of dog shit at the wall, it may leave a mark that looks exactly like Ray Comfort's face. Will the shit mark look like Ray? Well, it either will or it won't. Does that mean it's a 50/50 probability that I'm about to create a portrait in poo? Try it with ten thousand turds and you'll have your answer.

Do not allow this dishonest trick to go unchallenged when attempting to have rational conversation with the faithful.

I'm Stevo_fl
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Old 01-09-2013, 07:01 PM   #2
Kinich Ahau
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Do you like playing bingo?

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Old 01-09-2013, 11:56 PM   #3
Smellyoldgit
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Have you ever put your penis in a sheep?

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Old 01-10-2013, 03:43 AM   #4
ILOVEJESUS
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But pigs arse is still pork...right?

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Old 01-10-2013, 08:58 AM   #5
Stevo_fl
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Quote:
Smellyoldgit wrote View Post
Have you ever put your penis in a sheep?
I've put my penis in everything that walks crawls or swims.
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Old 01-10-2013, 09:03 AM   #6
Davin
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Too bad we lost that 4 year thread with thousands of posts that went over the 50/50 bullshit over and over and over again...

Always question all authorities because the authority you don't question is the most dangerous... except me, never question me.
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Old 01-10-2013, 09:13 AM   #7
Stevo_fl
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Davin wrote View Post
Too bad we lost that 4 year thread with thousands of posts that went over the 50/50 bullshit over and over and over again...
Well, you know what they say... if you can't spot the twat, it's you.

Sorry.
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Old 01-10-2013, 10:10 AM   #8
Davin
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Quote:
Stevo_fl wrote View Post
Well, you know what they say... if you can't spot the twat, it's you.

Sorry.
No worries, the idiot who keeps trying to defend the 50/50 bullshit is still around and apparently more than willing to fill up another thread trying to defend it.

Always question all authorities because the authority you don't question is the most dangerous... except me, never question me.
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Old 01-15-2013, 12:21 AM   #9
jesus_007
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Either I'm going to win the lottery tomorrow or I won't. Therefore I have a .5000 probability of winning!

Pisses me off as an unemployable statistician that people pull this shit.

Good response to the OP, use their own logic:
50/50 there's a god.
Christian
Jewish
Buddhist (they're stupid, so just use it)
Muslim (again...stupid)
Hindu
Zeus
Thor
Ra
so if there is a god, there's only a 1 in 4 chance that it's theirs.
(OK, it needs to be polished, but it's a start).
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Old 01-15-2013, 01:54 AM   #10
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Even if you polish a turd, you've still got a pile of shit ....

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Old 01-15-2013, 02:09 AM   #11
psychodiva
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but a very shiny pile of shit

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Old 01-15-2013, 02:33 AM   #12
Smellyoldgit
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Stop the Holy See men!
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Old 01-15-2013, 08:02 AM   #13
Stevo_fl
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jesus_007 wrote View Post
Either I'm going to win the lottery tomorrow or I won't. Therefore I have a .5000 probability of winning!

Pisses me off as an unemployable statistician that people pull this shit.
Right! That's why 50% of people who buy tickets win the lottery!
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