Honest Mondrian's Gambling Joint

[mondrian]

I'll try and post another selection in the morning now that the yearly pig fest is over and I'm back on these fair shores.

[Smellyoldgit]

I'll alert the media.

[mondrian]

Smellyoldgit wrote

I'll alert the media.

Well that's saved me a job.

[mondrian]

Today's Tip:

15:00 Plumpton Saroque (To lose).

[mondrian]

Smellyoldgit wrote

I'll alert the media.

You can alert the media now.

[mondrian]

Well, Saroque fails to even place having been sent off the 7/4 favourite and we have our fourth tip in a row in the bag (dances).

Once again, our selection fades in the last furlong!! Quelle surprise.

I'll try and post another tip in the morning.

[mondrian]

The problem with laying a horse to lose is that you need a couple of credible horses that are capable of beating the selection. Otherwise, even though the selection shouldn't win, it does, not because it's a good horse but because the opposition are shash.

Today's races are of poor quality and many of the favourites should lose. The problem is, the opposition. Basically, it's no better than the favourites. Today's races are going to look more like lotteries than races.

That said, Illegal Action in the 14:20 at Southwell looks like a loser to me and at least has a little opposition. I'm not confident but it's the best that I can come up with today. Also, this horse was 7/1 early this morning and is already in to 9/4 so someone thinks they know something. That means that it's probably been spoofed and is probably overbet so worth laying.

[Kinich Ahau]

I haven't got that one. I have Southwell races 1-5. No worries, let me know how it goes.

[mondrian]

Kinich Ahau wrote

I haven't got that one. I have Southwell races 1-5. No worries, let me know how it goes.

The 14:20 is race 4 at Southwell so you should have it.

[Kinich Ahau]

Got it. Like I said, I can't bet against so I'm on the second and third favs for a bit of fun.

[mondrian]

Kinich Ahau wrote

Got it. Like I said, I can't bet against so I'm on the second and third favs for a bit of fun.

You can't lay a horse? Where the fcuk do you live? Mars?

[Kinich Ahau]

It's just the betting site I'm a member of. Laying is much more an English thing. Not done much in australia although a few of the international betting houses such as betfair have introduced it.

[mondrian]

Over here, things are split roughly equally 3 ways between backing, laying and trading but most of the money on betting exchanges is trader money.

My system exclusively looks for horses to lay and is about 80% accurate on horses under 3/1. The average is about 2.3/1 (just over 9/4). Generally, it concentrates on race favourites but not always. The problem is that it's hopeless at picking winners so, although it's good when it comes to picking a loser, it's hasn't got much of a clue as to which of the others will win.

[mondrian]

mondrian wrote

The problem with laying a horse to lose is that you need a couple of credible horses that are capable of beating the selection. Otherwise, even though the selection shouldn't win, it does, not because it's a good horse but because the opposition are shash.

Today's races are of poor quality and many of the favourites should lose. The problem is, the opposition. Basically, it's no better than the favourites. Today's races are going to look more like lotteries than races.

That said, Illegal Action in the 14:20 at Southwell looks like a loser to me and at least has a little opposition. I'm not confident but it's the best that I can come up with today. Also, this horse was 7/1 early this morning and is already in to 9/4 so someone thinks they know something. That means that it's probably been spoofed and is probably overbet so worth laying.

And Illegal Action in the 14:20 at Southwell gets sent off 3/1 favourite and doesn't even place. That's 5 in a row (dances).

Fcku me, I ought to charge you Satan loving sons of bitches for these tips.

I'll try and post another in the morning.

[ILOVEJESUS]

Once I start laying them they will lose lol. That is what Jesus said anyway!